DIGITAL CURRENCIES AND INFORMAL ECONOMIES: ASSESSING THE FINANCIAL INCLUSION POTENTIAL OF CBDCs IN EMERGING MARKETS
Keywords:
Central Bank Digital Currency, informal economy, financial inclusion, emerging markets, digital transformationAbstract
This research aims to explore the potential of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) to increase financial inclusion in emerging markets, particularly in the context of the informal economy, which still dominates economic activity in many regions. Through a comprehensive literature review of previous studies, policy reports, and international regulatory documents, this research analyzes how the design and implementation of CBDCs can bridge the financial access gap faced by marginalized groups and workers in the informal sector. The study finds that CBDCs have significant potential to provide cheaper, safer, and more accessible payment systems, as well as increase trust in the formal financial system. However, these benefits are highly dependent on factors such as technical design, public trust, digital infrastructure, and privacy protection policies. This research recommends that the development of CBDCs in developing countries seriously consider the local socio-economic context and foster close collaboration between governments, the private sector, and local communities to ensure inclusive and sustainable adoption.
Downloads
References
Armas, A., Ruiz, L., & Vásquez, J. L. (n.d.). Assessing CBDC potential for developing payment systems and promoting financial inclusion in Peru.
Banerjee, S., & Sinha, M. (2023). Promoting Financial Inclusion through Central Bank Digital Currency: An Evaluation of Payment System Viability in India. Australasian Accounting, Business and Finance Journal, 17(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.14453/aabfj.v17i1.14
Boakye-Adjei, N. Y., Auer, R., Banka, H., Faragallah, A., Frost, J., Natarajan, H., & Prenio, J. (2023). Can central bank digital currencies help advance financial inclusion? Journal of Payments Strategy & Systems, 17(4), 433–447.
CBDC: Concepts, Benefits, Risks, Design, and Implications by Yibin Mu, Angela Mu: SSRN. (n.d.). Retrieved July 15, 2025, from https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4234876
Dell’Anno, R. (n.d.). Theories and definitions of the informal economy: A survey. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12487
Etim, E., & Daramola, O. (2020). The Informal Sector and Economic Growth of South Africa and Nigeria: A Comparative Systematic Review. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 6(4), Article 4. https://doi.org/10.3390/joitmc6040134
Feyen, E., Frost, J., Natarajan, H., & Rice, T. (2021). What Does Digital Money Mean for Emerging Market and Developing Economies? In R. Rau, R. Wardrop, & L. Zingales (Eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Technological Finance (pp. 217–241). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65117-6_9
Foster, K., Blakstad, S., Gazi, S., & Bos, M. (2021a). Digital Currencies and CBDC Impacts on Least Developed Countries (LDCs). http://hub.hku.hk/handle/10722/301745
Foster, K., Blakstad, S., Gazi, S., & Bos, M. (2021b). Digital Currencies and CBDC Impacts on Least Developed Countries (LDCs). http://hub.hku.hk/handle/10722/301745
Fredström, A., Peltonen, J., & Wincent, J. (2021). A country-level institutional perspective on entrepreneurship productivity: The effects of informal economy and regulation. Journal of Business Venturing, 36(5), 106002. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusvent.2020.106002
Huang, G., Xue, D., & Wang, B. (2020). Integrating Theories on Informal Economies: An Examination of Causes of Urban Informal Economies in China. Sustainability, 12(7), Article 7. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072738
Huber, J. (2023). CBDC System Design Principles. In J. Huber (Ed.), The Monetary Turning Point: From Bank Money to Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) (pp. 117–150). Springer Nature Switzerland. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-23957-1_7
Khaing, P. S. (2024). Role of Central Bank Digital Currencies in Bridging the Formal-Informal Economy Divide in Developing Countries. https://dspace.cuni.cz/handle/20.500.11956/191407
Kumhof, M., & Noone, C. (2021). Central bank digital currencies—Design principles for financial stability. Economic Analysis and Policy, 71, 553–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2021.06.012
Mugamba, E. (2024a). Leveraging Central Bank Digital Currencies, Fin-tech, and Cryptocurrencies to Foster Financial Inclusion and Economic Stability in Uganda (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. 5140309). Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5140309
Mugamba, E. (2024b). Leveraging Central Bank Digital Currencies, Fin-tech, and Cryptocurrencies to Foster Financial Inclusion and Economic Stability in Uganda (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. 5140309). Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5140309
Náñez Alonso, S. L., Jorge-Vazquez, J., & Reier Forradellas, R. F. (2020). Detection of Financial Inclusion Vulnerable Rural Areas through an Access to Cash Index: Solutions Based on the Pharmacy Network and a CBDC. Evidence Based on Ávila (Spain). Sustainability, 12(18), 7480. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12187480
Oh, E. Y., & Zhang, S. (n.d.). Informal economy and central bank digital currency. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.13105
Ozili, P. K. (2022). Circular Economy and Central Bank Digital Currency. Circular Economy and Sustainability, 2(4), 1501–1516. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43615-022-00170-0
Rachmad, Y. E. (n.d.). Digital Financial Inclusion: How CBDCs Can Be the Solution?
Ridwansyah, Razimi, M. S. A., Sisdianto, E., & Suprianingsih, O. (2024). Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC): An Innovation in E-Payment for Socio-Entrepreneurship. PaperASIA, 40(2b), Article 2b. https://doi.org/10.59953/paperasia.v40i2b.73
Schneider, F. (2022). Estimation of Informal Economy: Figures for Developed and Underdeveloped Countries Around the World. Revista de Economía Mundial, 60, Article 60. https://doi.org/10.33776/rem.v0i60.5631
Shafranova, K., Navolska, N., Koldovskyi, A., & NULL. (2024). Navigating the digital frontier: A comparative examination of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) and the Quantum Financial System (QFS). SocioEconomic Challenges, 8(1), 90–111.